A developing El Niño could affect Florida in two major ways: fewer Atlantic hurricanes, followed by a wetter, stormier winter with greater severe weather risk. NOAA says El Niño over a 60% chance of developing in summer 2026, with a 1-in-3 chance of becoming strong by late fall.

The fire ignited Wednesday evening just northeast of Gainesville.

Forecasters expect tropical cyclone activity could resemble seasons in 2006, 2009, 2015 and 2023. El Nino plays a prominent role in each of the seasons.

Newman Drive wildfire near Naples prompts evacuations. Limited visibility is possible overnight due to the smoke, and the east winds will move the smoke plume toward the Metro Southwest Coast of Florida.

La Niña officially emerged in September 2025 and lasted until April. Neutral conditions are present, but an El Niño is expected to emerge later in 2026.

Colorado State University is one of the most highly revered names in hurricane forecasting, and for Florida, that matters. Here’s why a landlocked university has become so influential for a state that sees more hurricane hits than any other.

Over 1,500 wildfires have burned over 54,000 acres in Florida since January, and the peak of wildfire season is likely to be more active due to the drought and intense heat.

Colorado State University’s 2026 Atlantic hurricane season outlook calls for below-normal activity across the Atlantic basin due to a likely transition into an El Niño.

A look at Florida Easter-April weather extremes, from historic heat and heavy rain to recent April flooding and record warmth.

The tornado had peak winds of 85 mph, and it traveled over half a mile across northern Miami-Dade County.