The National Hurricane Center has given a disturbed area of weather off Florida’s east coast a 10% chance of development. Even without additional development, heavy rainfall, flooding, rough seas and dangerous rip currents will be likely.

We are officially in a La Niña watch. This indicates a high likelihood of a transition from neutral to La Niña occurring during October to December 2025.

NOAA’s October weather outlook points to warmer-than-average temperatures across much of the U.S., including the Southeast, with Florida expected to receive more rainfall.

The change in wind direction will be responsible for good changes on Tuesday, and another shift will allow the rain to return later.

The track continues to shift east; some, if not all, watches could be discontinued later on Sunday, even if the storm intensifies.

The immediate east-central coast of Florida has the chance for strong gusty winds, beach erosion, and other dangerous marine hazards.

Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine is forecast to strengthen into Imelda as it moves east of Florida towards the Carolinas, bringing threats of strong winds, heavy rainfall and coastal flooding early next week.

Hurricane Helene made landfall near Perry, Florida as a Category 4 cyclone on September 26, 2024. According to NOAA, the hurricanes caused more than 250 deaths, with damages that totaled around $79 billion.

Hurricane Humberto strengthened into a Category 1 cyclone on Friday and is expected to pass safely north of the Lesser Antilles. Forecasters are also closely monitoring Invest 94L near Hispaniola, which could threaten the Southeast U.S. next week.

There is a high chance for Invest 94L to become Imelda soon. The forecast is complex, as several factors are at play.